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Trump’s new executive order doesn’t merely target Havana in isolation; it weaponizes Cuba’s last remaining lifeline, turning energy into leverage in an unprecedented way. By threatening punitive tariffs on any country that sells oil to the island, Washington is sending a stark message: even acts of humanitarian assistance could carry a steep economic cost in the U.S. market. Mexico, which has become Cuba’s primary oil supplier following previous restrictions, finds itself caught in a perilous crossfire. As a USMCA partner, Mexico is forced into an impossible choice: uphold regional solidarity and risk a confrontation with its largest trading partner, or comply with U.S. pressure and potentially betray broader diplomatic ties. The stakes for Mexico are enormous, as its economy and international reputation hang in the balance.
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