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For now, the California warning remains a story about precaution rather than proof of an impending strike. What is known is that the FBI sent a confidential bulletin to law enforcement, that the bulletin described an alleged Iranian ambition to attack California with drones launched from a vessel offshore, and that senior officials have responded by heightening vigilance while telling the public there is no credible or imminent threat. What is not known is whether any vessel was ever positioned to carry out such an operation, whether any launch capability existed, or whether the intelligence reflected a real plot, a contingency concept or fragmentary threat reporting gathered before the war began.