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respondents were asked.

The poll also examined voter enthusiasm, policy priorities and demographic factors that may influence turnout, though full cross-tabulated results were not publicly released.

Among registered voters surveyed, 45 percent said they would support the Republican candidate in their district, while 41 percent said they would vote for the Democratic candidate, giving Republicans a four-point advantage.

When independent “leaners” were included, the margin remained the same, with Republicans at 48 percent and Democrats at 44 percent.

The results mark a slight expansion of the GOP’s advantage compared with September 2025, when Republicans held a narrower 46–45 percent lead including leaners.

Republicans have led the generic ballot in most months of 2025, with Democrats posting modest advantages in April and May and the two parties tied at 47 percent each in August.

Although the Napolitan News poll showed Republicans ahead on the generic ballot, Democrats held a slight two-point edge in voter enthusiasm, 50 percent to 48 percent.